Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1220.077869 1392.534235 1586.461346 1821.804422 2101.169769 2424.030818 2828.046286
2025-06-29 937.240461 1153.537031 1420.618670 1779.037047 2254.165689 2872.084494 3752.752055
2025-07-06 779.205216 1003.184683 1295.872188 1714.078658 2309.262454 3146.566369 4452.319447
2025-07-13 710.392773 950.843646 1280.980133 1779.824424 2537.279215 3684.163383 5635.176308
2025-07-20 645.482421 891.655611 1243.617551 1800.837233 2694.891838 4138.155295 6792.476562
2025-07-27 597.203234 848.329446 1220.584406 1835.386840 2873.316637 4653.069677 8182.815402
2025-08-03 554.936646 807.913037 1195.120942 1859.408029 3034.266226 5165.388240 9708.329654
2025-08-10 527.134783 785.810903 1194.224868 1921.543878 3268.921286 5856.731139 11804.144490
2025-08-17 496.759800 755.984656 1176.578622 1950.875460 3446.575683 6474.197929 13943.671806
2025-08-24 466.996765 723.913619 1151.091180 1961.567705 3588.585050 7047.897358 16182.238050
2025-08-31 440.530470 694.643117 1126.893041 1970.562693 3727.421230 7644.647361 18707.612554
2025-09-07 421.094715 675.395701 1117.956077 2006.885413 3928.823180 8431.596643 22093.730399
2025-09-14 386.904215 628.669208 1056.840220 1936.153857 3893.939429 8664.416367 24005.738429
2025-09-21 357.875291 588.946306 1005.281249 1879.287751 3883.269312 8964.650107 26319.267820
2025-09-28 330.604119 550.152237 951.744179 1811.337225 3834.594612 9152.686619 28350.808157
2025-10-05 322.324066 545.276271 962.351208 1881.458982 4132.413053 10385.465877 35018.832084
2025-10-12 309.320914 530.477211 952.008164 1903.979653 4315.620501 11343.948707 41272.141194
2025-10-19 298.852235 519.590501 948.326214 1940.959264 4544.470473 12521.059855 49442.957338
2025-10-26 288.051750 507.184928 940.303071 1966.680147 4748.544276 13691.049661 58640.816614
2025-11-02 281.714462 502.983210 948.855520 2033.233963 5083.242557 15443.592852 72854.855030
2025-11-09 272.674585 492.683687 943.445773 2064.662609 5322.449768 16946.685841 87412.781968
2025-11-16 262.620349 479.592387 930.795571 2076.121095 5503.980526 18304.936070 102836.906107
2025-11-23 253.117526 466.962686 918.054620 2085.761437 5682.983866 19735.637180 120983.321237